Solar Panel Payback Calculator

Estimate years to break-even from system size, install cost, electric rate, and sun hours. Includes the 30% federal residential clean-energy tax credit.

Typical home: 6-10 kW
2026 U.S. average: $2.80-$3.50/W
SE/Mid-Atlantic ~4.5; SW ~6.0 (see NREL PVWatts)
U.S. residential avg ~$0.16; check your bill
U.S. residential avg ~10,500 kWh
State / utility rebates beyond federal credit
30% through 2032 (IRA, residential)
Panel degradation; ~0.5%/yr is typical

Results

Year 1 production
Year 1 savings
Gross install cost
Net cost (after credits)
Simple payback
25-year net savings

Estimates only. Real results depend on roof orientation, shading, utility net-metering policy, and equipment warranty terms. Always get at least three quotes before signing.

Last reviewed: April 2026

Tools we used or recommend for this work: an Emporia Vue 2 whole-home energy monitor for confirming the kWh consumption figure you fed this calculator, a clamp meter rated for solar DC for any troubleshooting, and the EnergySage marketplace if you want competing installer quotes against the system size this calc implied. Links may be affiliate-tagged where the brand has a program.